WASHINGTON, D.C. — Democrats continue to hold a significant advantage over Republicans in the race for control of Congress, according to a new Emerson College Polling survey released Thursday.
The poll found that 50.3% of likely voters said they would support the Democratic candidate in their congressional district, compared to 39.5% who said they would back the Republican candidate. Another 10.2% of respondents said they remain undecided.
The results are largely unchanged from a similar Emerson survey conducted in April, suggesting the partisan gap has remained stable over the past two months.
According to Emerson College Polling Executive Director Spencer Kimball, independent voters continue to favor Democrats by a 15-point margin, 45% to 30%. Hispanic voters showed an even larger Democratic advantage, backing Democratic candidates by 34 points. Kimball said both groups have consistently leaned toward Democrats in recent months.
The survey also found significant racial differences in approval of President Donald Trump’s second term. Approximately 65% of Hispanic voters, 76.3% of Black voters, and 49% of white voters said they disapprove of Trump’s performance in office.
The findings come as Republicans seek to maintain their narrow House and Senate majorities ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Both parties have increasingly turned to redistricting battles in several states. Republican-led efforts have advanced in states such as Florida and Missouri, while Democrats have pursued redistricting initiatives in California, New York, and Virginia.
Voters appear skeptical of those efforts overall. Nearly 46% of respondents said mid-decade redistricting is a “bad thing,” compared with 38.4% who viewed it positively.
The Emerson College Polling survey was conducted June 7-8 among 1,200 likely voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.
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