As the 2024 presidential election approaches, a variety of independent, third-party, and lesser-known candidates are entering the race, driven by American voters’ dissatisfaction with the potential rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. This group includes congressional members, a prominent academic, and a notable political family member, all facing long odds of success.
Historically, George Washington remains the only president elected without party affiliation, and Abraham Lincoln was the last to win from a newly formed party. Despite these historical precedents, candidates like Jill Stein, the Green Party nominee in 2012 and 2016, see an opportunity in the current political climate. Stein, reversing her decision to not run, has announced her third presidential bid for 2024.
Polls reflect a growing discontent with the major parties. According to an August poll by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, 75% of Americans believe Biden should not run again, and 69% hold the same view for Trump. Biden’s age and Trump’s legal challenges add to the public’s concern.
Democrats and Republicans are cautiously observing these third-party campaigns. Many Democrats attribute Stein’s 1.5 million votes in 2016 as a factor in Trump’s victory. Meanwhile, Rep. Dean Phillips of Minnesota is challenging Biden in the Democratic primary, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., initially a Democratic primary candidate, is now running as an independent.
No Labels, a bipartisan group, is seeking ballot access in all 50 states, raising concerns among Democrats about splitting the vote. Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va., and Utah Sen. Mitt Romney are being considered for a bipartisan ticket under No Labels, with Manchin expressing a desire to unite centrists.
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