Trump’s lead is the strongest in North Carolina, where he is nine points ahead of Biden, bringing in 50 percent support compared to Biden’s 41 percent. In the other swing states, Trump maintained a six-point lead over Biden in Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, and Pennsylvania – four states that Biden carried in 2020. However, in Wisconsin and Michigan – which Biden also won in the last presidential election – the gap is much closer. In the Badger State, Biden trails the Republican presidential front-runner by 4 percentage points, and in the Great Lakes State, he trails him by 2 percentage points, with Trump having 46 percent of support and Biden having 44 percent.
Bloomberg News noted that voters in all states expressed concerns about Biden’s age, while a significant percentage said Trump was dangerous. About 8 in 10 voters across all states said Biden was too old, while nearly 6 in 10 voters labeled Trump as dangerous. Interestingly, voters were more likely to describe the former president as mentally fit than the incumbent, the poll found.
The Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll was conducted online between Feb. 12-20 and surveyed 4,955 registered voters in the seven swing states. The margin of error in all states was 1 percentage point. When broken down by state, the margin of error is 3 percentage points in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania; 4 percentage points in Michigan, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, and 5 percentage points in Nevada. See MBFC’s current map with their exclusive polling averages.
It is worth noting that the poll results come after the 2024 Michigan presidential primary, where both party front-runners won their respective contests.
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