Washington, DC — President Donald Trump on Saturday cautioned that Republicans could struggle in the 2026 midterm elections, citing what he described as a longstanding “psychological factor” that often leads voters to back the opposition party when the White House is held by one side.
Speaking during an interview with Fox News host Will Cain while in Iowa, Trump noted that presidents of both parties have historically seen their parties lose seats in midterm elections. He referenced his first term, when Republicans lost control of the House in 2018, and suggested the pattern may be difficult to overcome despite what he described as strong current performance by his administration.
Trump’s remarks have drawn mixed reactions within Republican circles. Some party strategists said the comments were intended to energize the GOP base and remind supporters of the stakes in November. Others warned that publicly lowering expectations could backfire by reinforcing a narrative of potential losses rather than highlighting Republican achievements.
Republicans already face headwinds beyond historical trends. A Fox News poll released this week found that 52 percent of respondents said they would support the Democratic candidate in their House district, compared with 46 percent for Republicans. The same poll showed higher enthusiasm among Democrats, with 82 percent saying they are inclined to vote, versus 76 percent of Republicans and 61 percent of independents.
Trump has stepped up efforts to motivate voters, including warning that Democrats could pursue impeachment if they regain the House and signaling plans to campaign regularly for GOP candidates. His recent Iowa appearance focused on affordability and economic issues, areas Republicans emphasize as central to their midterm strategy.
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