Washington, D.C. — A new survey finds that 60 percent of Americans say they are confident votes in the 2026 midterm elections will be counted accurately, marking a sharp decline in trust across party lines.
The research, conducted by the UC San Diego Center for Transparent and Trusted Elections and reported by The Hill, surveyed more than 11,000 eligible voters between Dec. 19 and Jan. 12. The 60 percent figure represents a 17-point drop from trust levels recorded after the 2024 presidential election.
Independents reported the lowest confidence at 57 percent, followed by Democrats at 64 percent and Republicans at 65 percent. Researchers noted that the partisan trust gap narrowed after President Trump’s 2024 victory but has since declined “in parallel” among all groups.
Republican respondents expressed the greatest skepticism about mail-in ballots and whether noncitizens could vote, while Democrats showed lower levels of concern on those issues. President Trump has repeatedly claimed, without evidence, that mail voting and noncitizen participation contributed to fraud in 2020.
The survey also found that roughly one-third of voters across parties believe Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers could be present at polling locations this fall. Hispanic and Black voters expressed the highest levels of concern about possible intimidation.
The poll has a margin of error of 0.9 percentage points.
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