President-elect Donald Trump narrowly missed a majority in the popular vote, despite claiming a strong mandate. With 96% of votes counted, Trump holds 49.97% to Vice President Kamala Harris’ 48.36%, marking the second-closest margin since 1968. Votes are still being counted, including overseas and provisional ballots, which may further narrow the gap.
Trump secured a decisive 312-226 victory in the Electoral College, the widest margin since 2012. This contrasts with his 2016 win, where he lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by 3 million. A key factor in Trump’s 2024 popular vote gains was lower turnout for Harris compared to President Biden in 2020, particularly in blue states like California and New York, where Trump’s gains were marginal.
Turnout reached 63.8%, slightly below 2020 but still the second-highest in 100 years. Competitive states such as Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania saw some of the highest participation rates, while states like Hawaii and Arkansas, deemed noncompetitive, had the lowest.
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