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WASHINGTON, DC — President Donald Trump’s tariff policies cost the average U.S. household about $1,000 in 2025, according to a new analysis from the nonpartisan Tax Foundation, with costs projected to rise to roughly $1,300 this year if the trade measures remain in place.

The report finds that while inflation has not surged as sharply as some economists predicted, tariffs have functioned as an indirect tax increase on American consumers. The Tax Foundation warned that the levies could offset gains from recently enacted tax cuts, particularly for lower-income households.

Trump has defended his trade strategy, arguing in a recent Wall Street Journal op-ed that tariffs have promoted growth and strengthened the U.S. economy. He cited stock market gains, business investment announcements, and steady economic growth as evidence that the policy has not harmed overall performance.

However, research from the Kiel Institute for the World Economy estimates that U.S. importers and consumers bear about 96 percent of the tariff burden. The San Francisco Federal Reserve has also suggested that tariff increases may dampen investment and hiring while producing more limited effects on inflation.

Consumer price data show inflation rising from 2.3 percent in April to 3.0 percent in September before easing to 2.7 percent in December, remaining above the Federal Reserve’s target but below 2022 highs. The Supreme Court is expected to weigh in on the limits of presidential tariff authority under federal emergency powers later this year.

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