Since March 2023, global sea surface temperatures have been breaking daily records, with 2024’s temperatures significantly surpassing those of the previous year. This warming poses a threat to cyclone formation and marine ecosystems.
Brian McNoldy, a hurricane researcher, notes the unusual advancement of warm conditions, equating the current state to what typically would be seen in June. The oceans, absorbing 90% of the excess heat from human activity, play a crucial role in mitigating climate change impacts. However, the rising temperatures disrupt the marine food web, affecting phytoplankton and zooplankton, essential for carbon sequestration and oxygen production.
The warming creates a barrier that prevents the upward mixing of nutrients, essential for algae growth. Additionally, warmer waters hold less oxygen, expanding oxygen minimum zones and stressing marine life. Factors contributing to this warming include reduced Saharan dust, which traditionally cooled the Atlantic, and decreased sulfur in shipping fuels, reducing cloud formation that reflected sunlight.
The Pacific has also experienced warming due to an El Niño event, further complicating the separation of natural variability from human-induced warming. Despite potential La Niña development, which could enhance Atlantic hurricane activity, the blend of natural and anthropogenic factors continues to push ocean temperatures to alarming highs.
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