A new ABC News analysis shows the presumptive Democratic White House nominee with a slight Electoral College lead over Trump, with 279 electoral votes solidly or leaning Democratic. Another 72 electoral votes are rated as toss-ups, while 187 are either solid or leaning Republican.
In 2016, Trump won 306 electoral votes in his race against Hillary Clinton, also winning the Democratic strongholds of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. Biden could win by taking those states back, but losing any of them could put Trump either over the top or within reelection striking distance.
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